Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.440227 0.487206 0.537728 0.596207 0.662162 0.734392 0.819683
2025-06-01 0.369083 0.434856 0.510891 0.605749 0.721559 0.859157 1.036220
2025-06-08 0.322472 0.395753 0.484587 0.601105 0.751237 0.939969 1.198032
2025-06-15 0.292837 0.371418 0.470420 0.605741 0.788111 1.028556 1.374903
2025-06-22 0.264420 0.344604 0.448905 0.596474 0.803051 1.086746 1.514263
2025-06-29 0.242393 0.323524 0.432077 0.590454 0.819864 1.146793 1.660324
2025-07-06 0.217782 0.296525 0.404404 0.565938 0.806828 1.161210 1.738273
2025-07-13 0.206487 0.286903 0.399765 0.573333 0.840087 1.245774 1.931957
2025-07-20 0.196301 0.277889 0.394981 0.579585 0.871433 1.329443 2.132748
2025-07-27 0.187179 0.269622 0.390435 0.585408 0.902009 1.413982 2.343875
2025-08-03 0.178244 0.260908 0.384408 0.588108 0.927292 1.491551 2.551164
2025-08-10 0.170884 0.254016 0.380543 0.593681 0.957360 1.579404 2.786691
2025-08-17 0.159617 0.240505 0.365653 0.580447 0.955034 1.611926 2.925518
2025-08-24 0.153930 0.235431 0.363836 0.588853 0.990965 1.716228 3.216618
2025-08-31 0.146143 0.226451 0.354996 0.584410 1.003309 1.777963 3.430038
2025-09-07 0.140744 0.220991 0.351528 0.588895 1.032036 1.873009 3.724444
2025-09-14 0.133308 0.211699 0.340996 0.579924 1.034639 1.917265 3.915426
2025-09-21 0.127006 0.203943 0.332579 0.574096 1.042577 1.972608 4.137971
2025-09-28 0.118162 0.191389 0.315128 0.550362 1.013544 1.949550 4.178014
2025-10-05 0.114972 0.188391 0.314236 0.557521 1.046375 2.058456 4.542885
2025-10-12 0.111802 0.185241 0.312851 0.563574 1.077373 2.166485 4.921568
2025-10-19 0.108758 0.182136 0.311339 0.569212 1.107899 2.276516 5.321950
2025-10-26 0.105459 0.178394 0.308424 0.571826 1.132166 2.374906 5.707410